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BENCHMARK'S BILLION-DOLLAR ACCIDENT: THE MEETING THAT ALMOST WASN'THARTZ'S A* CLOSES $450M FUND TO BACK 30 COMPANIES NOBODY WANTSKHOSLA BETS $10M ON FOUNDER WHOSE LAST COMPANY IMPLODEDSPACEX UPENDS MARKETS WHILE STILL PRIVATE, SOMEHOWBUMBLE DISCOVERS DATING APPS BORING, CONSIDERS BECOMING SOMETHING ELSEBYRON ALLEN BUYS BUZZFEED, ANNOUNCES TURNAROUND NOBODY ASKED FORGOLDMAN ADMITS IT'S A FACTORY. PROMISES AI WON'T FIRE ANYONE.HARTZ RAISES $450M ON EVENTBRITE NOSTALGIA ALONEBENCHMARK'S BILLION-DOLLAR ACCIDENT: THE MEETING THAT ALMOST WASN'THARTZ'S A* CLOSES $450M FUND TO BACK 30 COMPANIES NOBODY WANTSKHOSLA BETS $10M ON FOUNDER WHOSE LAST COMPANY IMPLODEDSPACEX UPENDS MARKETS WHILE STILL PRIVATE, SOMEHOWBUMBLE DISCOVERS DATING APPS BORING, CONSIDERS BECOMING SOMETHING ELSEBYRON ALLEN BUYS BUZZFEED, ANNOUNCES TURNAROUND NOBODY ASKED FORGOLDMAN ADMITS IT'S A FACTORY. PROMISES AI WON'T FIRE ANYONE.HARTZ RAISES $450M ON EVENTBRITE NOSTALGIA ALONE
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Hartz's A* Closes $450M Fund to Back 30 Companies Nobody Wants

Generalist thesis meets mathematical inevitability: spray $450 million at enough startups and something has to work.

Kevin Hartz's A* has closed its third fund with $450 million, which means the Eventbrite founder is now operating a financial spray bottle with institutional capital. The firm will deploy this capital across "at least 30 startups," a formulation so carefully hedged it deserves its own legal opinion. With an average check size between $3 million and $5 million, A* has essentially decided that the secret to returns in 2025 is mathematical mediocrity—betting on enough companies that one of them might accidentally generate a 10x return to justify the fund's existence.

A* describes itself as a generalist investor backing companies across "AI applications, fintech, healthcare, and security." This is portfolio construction via Wikipedia category browsing. The firm isn't backing a thesis; it's backing categories. In an era where specialized mega-funds are accumulating market share through concentrated conviction, A* is doing the opposite—treating fund management like a mutual fund prospectus circa 2003. Hartz and his team have apparently concluded that the way to win in venture capital is to abandon the veneer of focus and simply become a very expensive lottery ticket dispenser.

This is Hartz's third fund, which means this pattern has now been validated twice before by limited partners who presumably believed that generalist thesis-free investing would eventually produce outsized returns. The math, however, doesn't improve with repetition. If you're writing $3–5 million checks into 30 companies, you're accepting that 20 of them will fail, 8 will return your capital, and you're praying that one or two will achieve venture-scale outcomes. The fund needs at least one 15–20x exit just to clear 3x gross multiple for LPs after fees. That's not a strategy; that's wishful thinking with a PowerPoint deck.

The press release language surrounding A*'s fund is the usual incantation: "generalist approach," "across categories," "aim to back at least 30 startups." Translation: we have no particular edge, we are committed to a statistical approach to value destruction, and we've hedged our minimum commitment with the word "at least" in case we only write 28 checks and want to call it a success.

History suggests this ends predictably. Generalist funds of this size, writing $3–5 million checks into unfocused sectors, typically produce returns that barely justify their existence fees. The winners will exist, sure—one company will go public, another will sell for $500 million—but they'll be buried beneath a graveyard of mediocre positions, pivots, and acqui-hires that slowly bleed capital over ten years.

This fund's existence says everything about the current state of VC: $450 million is now such easy capital to raise that a founder can convince institutions to back a strategy that is essentially "we will hope very hard and write many checks." Concentration wins. Focus wins. Hartz's A* is betting that diffusion is a feature, not a liability.

It isn't. But for Hartz's GP commitment, this is a pleasant way to underperform for the next decade anyway.

💀💀💀💀  Dumb Rating: 4/5 — Diversified Into Irrelevance
⚠ Satirical commentary based on real, publicly reported news. Not financial or legal advice.
★ From the Glossary
"Generalist Approach"
A fund strategy that claims to have no particular conviction, thereby ensuring that capital is distributed evenly across winners and losers with maximum dilution.
D

About DumbCapital

DumbCapital covers venture capital and M&A in North America with the skepticism these markets have long deserved and rarely received. We are not impressed by large numbers. We are not moved by press releases. All articles are satirical commentary based on real, publicly reported deals. Nothing here is financial advice.

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